Thursday, October 2, 2014

Free Pick Friday

Good morning degenerates,

Week six in college football is here, and it is a HUGE weekend loaded with premier games. Four match-ups against unbeaten teams, six games between ranked opponents ensures that this will be a wild Saturday of football. Each Friday I will provide my thoughts on various game lines in order to inform you on the smart picks for the weekend (as well as to boost the confidence in my picks).

Can Amari Cooper help keep the Tide rolling vs Ole Miss?
Some intriguing games to watch Saturday include:

  •  Alabama (-7) at Ole Miss (3:30 est, CBS)
  •  Texas A&M (+2.5) at Miss. State (12:00 est, ESPN) 
  • Stanford (-1.5) at Notre Dame (3:30 est, NBC)
  • Oklahoma (-5.5) at TCU (3:30 est, FOX)
  • LSU (+7.5) at Auburn (7:00 est, ESPN)
  • Nebraska (+7.5) at Michigan State (8:00 est, ABC)

Alabama (-7) at Ole Miss: Ole Miss has the weapons on offense and a stout defense to limit Alabama's offense and keep this close. Couple that with Alabama quarterback Blake Sims going on the road for the first time, against a top ten team no less, conventional wisdom suggests Ole Miss is the play. However, Alabama's offense is balanced enough to rely on their potent rushing attack, and their defense is still one of the best in the country. Pick: Alabama -7

Texas A&M (+2.5) at Mississippi State: This is a battle of unbeaten teams, both with surprising road victories against South Carolina and LSU, respectively. Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott had a monster game against LSU's defense, and A&M freshman quarterback Kenny Hill has shown he carry A&M's prolific offense. I think this will be a shootout, with A&M pulling it out in the end. Pick: Texas A&M +2.5

Stanford (-1.5) at Notre Dame: Notre Dame has looked strong in its first four games, although some of its victories (Michigan) do not look as strong as initially perceived. The gametime forecast looks rather dicey (mid 40s, high chance of rain), so this could be a low scoring, defensive battle. Stanford has a strong rushing attack featuring Remound Wright and Barry Sanders Jr., which will be an interesting matchup against Notre Dame's strong rush defense. I expect Notre Dame to come out on top. Pick: Notre Dame +1.5

Good luck to all of you (except those picking against my picks), please comment below your thoughts on any of the games this week.

3 comments:

  1. I enjoy reading your blog because I don't have a lot of time to keep up with the games. I love that I can come here and see the highlights from previous games and see the upcoming games. I am a bartender and it is extremely helpful to know who plays and when. I am excited that you even list the times and channels. If you are hosting a football party, visit my blog http://sugrnobesity.blogspot.com/. I will post some fun, healthy snacks to serve in my weekly post, Meal Play Monday.

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  2. What does the "Back Door Cover" mean?

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  3. Back Door Cover refers to the rare event at the end of a game or match that results in the team you have bet on covering the spread. For example, in a football game, Notre Dame is playing Purdue and ND is favored by 35 points. Late in the game ND is up 49-10, but Purdue scores a touchdown, resulting in a final score of 49-17, a 32 point victory for ND. If you were to bet on Purdue and take the 35 points (which would be the wise pick), you would have won due to a back door cover. It's basically a score or event that has little to no impact on the outcome of the game, but influences who wins the bet.

    Hope this helped, let me know if you have any other questions relating to sports betting, college football, or investing. Have a great weekend!

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